NCERT Solutions for Class 12 Maths Chapter 13: Probability

Solutions for NCERT Class 12 Maths Chapter 13: The probability is comprehensive and covers all the concepts of probability and their uses. In this chapter, class 12 maths chapter 13, it deals with the conditional probability, Baye's theorem, random variable, and probability distribution. Solutions are designed in a way so as to make the student grasp everything on Class 12 Probability, one of the important topics for students who want to score well in mathematics and statistics. The detailed explanations and examples in the pdf for class 12 maths chapter 13 will have helped the students in understanding the various concepts of Probability. The Solutions are purely based on the CBSE Syllabus, leaving nothing important left unexplained. There are many solved examples and exercises in the chapter that help students carry more and more practice with the problems on Probability so that their analytical skills improve and they can understand things nicely.

Download PDF For NCERT Solutions for Maths Probability

The NCERT Solutions for Class 12 Maths Chapter 13: Probability are tailored to help the students master the concepts that are key to success in their classrooms. The solutions given in the PDF are developed by experts and correlate with the CBSE syllabus of 2023-2024. These solutions provide thorough explanations with a step-by-step approach to solving problems. Students can easily get a hold of the subject and learn the basics with a deeper understanding. Additionally, they can practice better, be confident, and perform well in their examinations with the support of this PDF.

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Access Answers to NCERT Solutions for Class 12 Maths Chapter 13: Probability

Students can access the NCERT Solutions for Class 12 Maths Chapter 13: Probability. Curated by experts according to the CBSE syllabus for 2023–2024, these step-by-step solutions make Maths much easier to understand and learn for the students. These solutions can be used in practice by students to attain skills in solving problems, reinforce important learning objectives, and be well-prepared for tests.

Probability - Exercise 13.1

Question 1 :

If P(A) = 0.8, P(B) = 0.5 and P(B|A) = 0.4, find

(i) P(A ∩ B)

(ii) P(A|B)

(iii) P(A ∪ B)

 

Answer :


chapter 13-Probability Exercise 13.1


Question 2 :

 If A and B are events such that P (A|B) = P(B|A), then

(A) A ⊂ B but A ≠ B

(B) A = B

(C) A ∩ B = Φ

(D) P(A) = P(B)

 

Answer :

 

It is given that, P(A|B) = P(B|A)

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

⇒ P (A) = P (B)

Therefore, option (D) is correct.

 


Question 3 :

Evaluate P (A ∪ B), if 2P (A) = P (B) =5/13 and P(A|B) =2/5

Answer :

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image017.png


Question 4 :

 If P(A)=6/11, P(B) =5/11 and P(A ∪ B) =7/11, find

(i) P(A ∩ B)

(ii) P(A|B)

(iii) P(B|A)

 

Answer :


It is given that,P(A)=6/11, P(B) =5/11 and P(A ∪ B) =7/11

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

 


Question 5 :

Given that E and F are events such that P(E) = 0.6, P(F) = 0.3 and P(E ∩ F) = 0.2, find P (E|F) and P(F|E).

Answer :

It is given that P(E) = 0.6, P(F) = 0.3, and P(E ∩ F) = 0.2

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image007.png

 


Question 6 :

Compute P(A|B), if P(B) = 0.5 and P (A ∩ B) = 0.32

Answer :

Given: P (B) = 0.5, P (A ∩  B) = 0.32

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

 

 


Question 7 :

Determine: A coin is tossed three times.

(i) E : heads on third toss, F : heads on first two tosses.

(ii) E : at least two heads, F : at most two heads.

(iii) E : at most two tails, F : at least one tail.

 

Answer :

 

If a coin is tossed three times, then the sample space S is

S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT}

It can be seen that the sample space has 8 elements.

(i) E = {HHH, HTH, THH, TTH}

F = {HHH, HHT}

∴ E ∩ F = {HHH}

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

(ii) E = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH}

F = {HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT}

∴ E ∩ F = {HHT, HTH, THH}

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image033.png

(iii) E = {HHH, HHT, HTT, HTH, THH, THT, TTH}

F = {HHT, HTT, HTH, THH, THT, TTH, TTT}

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image035.png

 


Question 8 :

Determine :Two coins are tossed once.

(i) E : tail appears on one coin, F : one coin shows head.

(ii) E : no tail appears, F : no head appears.

 

Answer :

 

If two coins are tossed once, then the sample space S is

S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}

(i) E = {HT, TH}

F = {HT, TH}

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image046.png

(ii) E = {HH}

F = {TT}

∴ E ∩ F = Φ

P (F) = 1 and P (E ∩ F) = 0

∴ P(E|F) =NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image047.png


Question 9 :

Determine :E A dice is thrown three times.

E : 4 appears on the third toss, F : 6 and 5 appears respectively on first two tosses.

 

Answer :


Since a dice has six faces. Therefore E = 6 x 6 x 6 = 216

E = (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6) x (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6) x (4)

F = (6) x (5) x (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6)

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

 


Question 10 :

Determine : Mother, father and son line up at random for a family picture.

E : Son on one end, F : Father in middle.

 

Answer :

 

If mother (M), father (F), and son (S) line up for the family picture, then the sample space will be

S = {MFS, MSF, FMS, FSM, SMF, SFM}

⇒ E = {MFS, FMS, SMF, SFM}

F = {MFS, SFM}

∴ E ∩ F = {MFS, SFM}

E : Son on one end

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image032.png

 


Question 11 :

A black and a red die are rolled.

(a) Find the conditional probability of obtaining a sum greater than 9, given that the black die resulted in a 5.

(b) Find the conditional probability of obtaining the sum 8, given that the red die resulted in a number less than 4.

 

Answer :

Let the first observation be from the black die and second from the red die.

When two dice (one black and another red) are rolled, the sample space S has 6 × 6 = 36 number of elements.

(a) Let A: Obtaining a sum greater than 9

= {(4, 6), (5, 5), (5, 6), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6)}

B: Black die results in a 5.

= {(5, 1), (5, 2), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (5, 6)}

∴ A ∩ B = {(5, 5), (5, 6)}

The conditional probability of obtaining a sum greater than 9, given that the black die resulted in a 5, is given by P (A|B).

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image072.png

(b) E: Sum of the observations is 8.

= {(2, 6), (3, 5), (4, 4), (5, 3), (6, 2)}

F: Red die resulted in a number less than 4.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image072.png

The conditional probability of obtaining the sum equal to 8, given that the red die resulted in a number less than 4, is given by P (E|F).

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image072.png

 


Question 12 :

If P (A) = 1/2 P (B) = 0, then P(A|B) is:

(A) 0   

(B) 1/2

(C) not defined 

(D) 1

 

Answer :


P (A) = 1/2  P(B) = 0

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

Therefore, P (A|B) is not defined.

Therefore, option (C) is correct.

 


Question 13 :

A fair die is rolled. Consider events E = {1, 3, 5}, F = {2, 3} and G = {2, 3, 4, 5}. Find:

 (i) P (E|F) and P (F|E)

(ii) P (E|G) and P (G|E)

(ii) P ((E ∪ F)|G) and P ((E ∩ G)|G)

 

Answer :

 

When a fair die is rolled, the sample space S will be

S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}

It is given that E = {1, 3, 5}, F = {2, 3}, and G = {2, 3, 4, 5}

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

(iii) E ∪ F = {1, 2, 3, 5}

(E ∪ F) ∩ G = {1, 2, 3, 5} ∩{2, 3, 4, 5} = {2, 3, 5}

E ∩ F = {3}

(E ∩ F) ∩ G = {3}∩{2, 3, 4, 5} = {3}

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image097.png

 


Question 14 :

Assume that each child born is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. If a family has two children, what is the conditional probability that both are girls given that (i) the youngest is a girl (ii) at least one is a girl?

Answer :

 

Let b and g represent the boy and the girl child respectively. If a family has two children, the sample space will be

S = {(b, b), (b, g), (g, b), (g, g)}

Let A be the event that both children are girls.

∴ A = {(g,g)}

(i) Let B be the event that the youngest child is a girl.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

The conditional probability that both are girls, given that the youngest child is a girl, is given by P (A|B).

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

Therefore, the required probability is 1/2.

(ii) Let C be the event that at least one child is a girl.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

The conditional probability that both are girls, given that at least one child is a girl, is given by P(A|C).

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

 


Question 15 :

An instructor has a test bank consisting of 300 easy True/False questions, 200 difficult True/False questions, 500 easy multiple choice questions and 400 difficult multiple choice questions. If a question is selected at random from the test bank, what is the probability that it will be an easy question given that it is a multiple choice question?

Answer :

 

The given data can be tabulated as

 

True/False

Multiple choice

Total

Easy

300

500

800

Difficult

200

400

600

Total

500

900

1400

Let us denote E = easy questions, M = multiple choice questions, D = difficult questions, and T = True/False questions

Total number of questions = 1400

Total number of multiple choice questions = 900

Therefore, probability of selecting an easy multiple choice question is

P (E ∩ M) = 500/1400 = 5/14

Probability of selecting a multiple choice question, P (M), is

900/1400 = 9/14

P (E|M) represents the probability that a randomly selected question will be an easy question, given that it is a multiple choice question.

Probability

P(E|M) = P(E ∩ M)/P(M) = 5/14/9/14 = 5/9

Therefore, the required probability is 5/9.

 


Question 16 :

 Given that the two numbers appearing on throwing two dice are different. Find the probability of the event ‘the sum of numbers on the dice is 4’.

Answer :

 

When dice is thrown, number of observations in the sample space = 6 × 6 = 36

Let A be the event that the sum of the numbers on the dice is 4 and B be the event that the two numbers appearing on throwing the two dice are different.
∴ A = {(1, 3), (2, 2), (3, 1)
S =  (1, 1), (2, 1), (3, 1), (4, 1), (5, 1), (6, 1)

(1, 2), (2, 2), (3, 2), (4, 2), (5, 2), (6, 2)

(1, 3), (2, 3), (3, 3), (4, 3), (5, 3), (6, 3)

(1, 4), (2, 4), (3, 4), (4, 4), (5, 4), (6, 4)

(1, 5), (2, 5), (3, 5), (4, 5), (5, 5), (6, 5)

(1, 6), (2, 6), (3, 6), (4, 6), (5, 6), (6, 6)

B = {(2, 1), (3, 1), (4, 1), (5, 1), (6, 1), (1, 2),

(3, 2), (4, 2), (5, 2), (6, 2),(1, 3), (2, 3), (4, 3),

(5, 3), (6, 3), (1, 4), (2, 4), (3, 4), (5, 4), (6, 4),

(1, 5), (2, 5), (3, 5), (4, 5), (6, 5), (1, 6), (2, 6),

(3, 6), (4, 6), (5, 6)}

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

Let P (A|B) represent the probability that the sum of the numbers on the dice is 4, given that the two numbers appearing on throwing the two dice are different.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

Therefore, the required probability is 1/15.

 


Question 17 :

Consider the experiment of throwing a die, if a multiple of 3 comes up throw the die again and if any other number comes toss a coin. Find the conditional probability of the event “the coin shows a tail”, given that “at least one die shows a 3”.

Answer :

 

The outcomes of the given experiment can be represented by the following tree diagram.

The sample space of the experiment is,

S = {(3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (3, 5), (3, 6), (6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6)

(1, H), (2, H), (3, H), (4, H), (5, H), (1, T), (2, T), (3, T), (4, T), (5, T)}

Let A be the event that the coin shows a tail and B be the event that at least one die shows 3.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /1.png

Probability of the event that the coin shows a tail, given that at least one die shows 3, is given by P(A|B).

Therefore,

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /2.png

 


Probability - Exercise 13.2

Question 1 :

Two cards are drawn at random and without replacement from a pack of 52 playing cards. Find the probability that both the cards are black.

Answer :

 

There are 26 black cards in a deck of 52 cards.

Let P (A) be the probability of getting a black card in the first draw.

P(A) = 26/52 = 1/2

Let P (B) be the probability of getting a black card on the second draw.

Since the card is not replaced,

P(B) = 25/51

Thus, probability of getting both the cards black = 1/2 x25/51 = 25/102

 


Question 2 :

Two events A and B are said to be independent, if:

(A) A and B are mutually exclusive.

(B) P (A’B’) = [1 – P (A)] [1 – P (B)]

(C) P (A) = P (B)

(D) P (A) + P (B) = 1

 

Answer :

P (A’ and B’)

= [1 – P (A)] . [1 – P (B)]

= P (A’). P (B’)

Hence, option (B) is correct

 


Question 3 :

Events A and B are such that P (A) = 1/2 P (B) = 7/12 and P (not A or not B) = 1/4 State whether A and B are independent.

Answer :


It is given that P (A) = 1/2 P (B) = 7/12 and P (not A or not B) = 1/4

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

 


Question 4 :

If P (A) = 3/5  and P (B) = 1/5 find P (A ∩ B) if A and B are independent events.

Answer :

It is given that P(A) = 3/5 and P(B) = 1/5

As A and B are independent events.

P (A ∩ B) = P(A) .P(B) = 3/5.1/5 = 3/25

 


Question 5 :

The probability of obtaining an even prime number on each die when a pair of dice is rolled is:

(A) 0 (B) 1/3  (C) 1/12 (D) 1/36

 

Answer :

When two dice are rolled, the number of outcomes is 36.

The only even prime number is 2.

Let E be the event of getting an even prime number on each die.

∴ E = {(2, 2)}

⇒ P(E) = 1/36

Hence option (D) is correct.

 


Question 6 :

 A box of oranges is inspected by examining three randomly selected oranges drawn without replacement. If all the three oranges are good, the box is approved for sale otherwise it is rejected. Find the probability that a box containing 15 oranges out of which 12 are good and 3 are bad ones will be approved for sale.

Answer :

 

Let A, B, and C be the respective events that the first, second, and third drawn orange is good.

Therefore, probability that first drawn orange is good, P (A) = 12/15

The oranges are not replaced.

Therefore, probability of getting second orange good, P (B) = 11/14

Similarly, probability of getting third orange good, P(C) = 10/13

The box is approved for sale, if all the three oranges are good.

Thus, probability of getting all the oranges good = 12/15 x 11/14 x 10/13 = 44/91

Therefore, the probability that the box is approved for sale is 44/91.

 


Question 7 :

A fair coin and an unbiased die are tossed. Let A be the event ‘head appears on the coin’ and B be the event ‘3 on the die’. Check whether A and B are independent events or not.

Answer :

 

If a fair coin and an unbiased die are tossed, then the sample space S is given by,

S = {(H, 1), (H, 2), (H, 3), (H, 4), (H, 5), (H, 6), (T, 1), (T, 2), (T, 3), (T, 4), (T, 5), (T, 6)}

Let A: Head appears on the coin

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

Therefore, A and B are independent events.

 


Question 8 :

A die marked 1, 2, 3 in red and 4, 5, 6 in green is tossed. Let A be the event ‘number is even’ and B be the event ‘number is red’. Are A and B independent?

Answer :

 

When a die is thrown, the sample space (S) is

S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}

Let A: the number is even = {2, 4, 6}

P (A) = 3/6 = 1/2

B: the number is red = {1, 2, 3}

P (B) = 3/6 = 1/2

∴ A ∩ B = {2}

chapter 13-Probability Exercise 13.2

Therefore, A and B are not independent.

 


Question 9 :

Let E and F be events with NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image029.png Are E and F independent?

Answer :


NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image028.png

Therefore, E and F are not independent events.

 


Question 10 :

Given that the events A and B are such that P (A) = 1/2 P (A ∩ B) = 3/5  and P (B) = p Find p if they are (i) mutually exclusive, (ii) independent.

Answer :

 

It is given that P(A) = 1/2 P (A ∩ B) = 3/5 and P (B) = p

(i) When A and B are mutually exclusive, A ∩ B = Φ

∴ P (A ∩ B) = 0

It is known that P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

(ii) When A and B are independent, P(A ∩ B) = P(A) .P(B) = 1/2p

It is known that, P (A U B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)

chapter 13-Probability Exercise 13.2

 


Question 11 :

Let A and B independent events, P (A) = 0.3 and P (B) = 0.4. Find:

(A) P (A ∩ B)

(B) P (A U B)

(C) P (A|B)

(D) P (B|A)

 

Answer :

P (A) = 0.3, P (B) = 0.4

A and B are independent events.

(i) P (A ∩ B) P (A). P (B) = 0.3 x 0.4 = 0.12

(ii) P (A U B) = P (A) + P (B) – P (A). P (B) = 0.03 + 0.4 – 0.3 x 0.4 = 0.7 – 0.12 = 0.58

(iii) P (A|B) = P (A ∩ B)/P(B) = P (A|B) = P (A) = 0.3

(iv) P (B|A) = P (A ∩ B)/P(A) = P (B|A) = P (B) = 0.4


Question 12 :

 If A and B are two events such that P (A) = 1/4 P (B) = 1/2 and P (A ∩ B) = 1/8 find P (not A and not B).

Answer :

 

It is given that, P (A) = 1/4 and P (A ∩ B) = 1/8

P(not on A and not on B) =P(A’ ∩  B’)

P (not on A and not on B) P(A U B)’ [A’ ∩ B’ = (A U B)’]

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image054.png

 


Question 13 :

Given two independent events A and B such that P (A) = 0.3, P (B) = 0.6. Find:

(A) P (A and B) 

(B) P (A and not B)

(C) P (A or B) 

(D) P (neither A nor B)

 

Answer :


P (A) = 0.3, P (B) = 0.6

A and B are independent events.

(i) P (A and B) = P (A). P (B) = 0.3 x 0.6 = 0.18

(ii) P (A and not B) = P(A ∩ B’) = P (A) – P(A ∩ B) = 0.3 – 0.18 = 0.12

(iii) P (A or B) = P (A) + P (B) – P (A and B) = 0.3 + 0.6 – 0.18 = 0.9 – 0.18 = 0.72

(iv) P (neither A nor B) =  P(A’ ∩ B’) = (P(A U B’)) 1 – P (A U B) = 1 – 0.72 = 0.28

 


Question 14 :

A die is tossed thrice. Find the probability of getting an odd number at least once.

Answer :

Probability of getting an odd number in a single throw of a die = 3/6 = 1/2

Similarly, probability of getting an even number =3/6 = 1/2

Probability of getting an even number three times = 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 = 1/8

Therefore, probability of getting an odd number at least once

= 1 − Probability of getting an odd number in none of the throws

= 1 − Probability of getting an even number thrice

= 1- 1/8 = 7/8

 


Question 15 :

Two balls are drawn at random with replacement from a box containing 10 black and 8 red balls. Find the probability that:

(i) both balls are red.

(ii) first ball is black and second is red.

(iii) one of them is black and other is red.

 

Answer :

 

Total number of balls = 18

Number of red balls = 8

Number of black balls = 10

(i) Probability of getting a red ball in the first draw = 8/18 = 4/9

The ball is replaced after the first draw.

∴ Probability of getting a red ball in the second draw = 8/18 = 4/9

Therefore, probability of getting both the balls red = 4/9 x 4/9 = 16/81

(ii) Probability of getting first ball black =10/18 = 5/9

The ball is replaced after the first draw.

Probability of getting second ball as red = 8/18 = 4/9

Therefore, probability of getting first ball as black and second ball as red =5/9 x 4/9 = 20/81

(iii) Probability of getting first ball as red =8/18 = 4/9

The ball is replaced after the first draw.

Probability of getting second ball as black =10/18 = 5/9

Therefore, probability of getting first ball as black and second ball as red =  4/9 x 5/9 = 20/81

Therefore, probability that one of them is black and other is red

= Probability of getting first ball black and second as red + Probability of getting first ball red and second ball black

= 20/81 + 20/81 = 40/81

 


Question 16 :

Probability of solving specific problem independently by A and B are 1/2 and 1/3 respectively. If both try to solve the problem independently, find the probability that:

(i) the problem is solved.

(ii) exactly one of them solves the problem.

 

Answer :

 

Probability of solving the problem by A, P (A) =1/2

Probability of solving the problem by B, P (B) =1/3

Since the problem is solved independently by A and B,

∴ P(AB) = P(A).P(B) = 1/2 x 1/3 = 1/6

P(A’) = 1 – P(A) = 1-1/2 = 1/2

P(B’) = 1 – P(B) = 1 – 1/3 = 2/3

(i)Probability that the problem is solved = P (A ∪ B)

= P (A) + P (B) − P (AB) = 1/2 + 1/3 -1/6 = 4/6 = 2/3

(ii) Probability that exactly one of them solves the problem is given by, P(A).P(B’) + P(B).P(A’)

= 1/2 x 2/3 + 1/2 x 1/3 = 1/3 + 1/6 = 1/2

 


Question 17 :

One card is drawn at random from a well shuffled deck of 52 cards. In which of the following cases are the events E and F independent?

 

Answer :

 

(i) In a deck of 52 cards, 13 cards are spades and 4 cards are aces.

∴ P(E) = P(the card drawn is a spade) =13/52 = 1/4

∴ P(F) = P(the card drawn is an ace) = 4/52 = 1/13

In the deck of cards, only 1 card is an ace of spades.

P(EF) = P(the card drawn is spade and an ace) = 1/52

P(E) × P(F) =1/4 .1/12 = 1/52 = P(EF)

⇒ P(E) × P(F) = P(EF)

Therefore, the events E and F are independent.

(ii) In a deck of 52 cards, 26 cards are black and 4 cards are kings.

∴ P(E) = P(the card drawn is black) = 26/52 = 1/2

∴ P(F) = P(the card drawn is a king) = 4/52 = 1/13

In the pack of 52 cards, 2 cards are black as well as kings.

∴ P (EF) = P(the card drawn is a black king) =2/52 = 1/26

P(E) × P(F) = 1/2.1/13 = 1/26 =P(EF)

Therefore, the given events E and F are independent.

(iii) In a deck of 52 cards, 4 cards are kings, 4 cards are queens, and 4 cards are jacks.

∴ P(E) = P(the card drawn is a king or a queen) = 8/52 = 2/13

∴ P(F) = P(the card drawn is a queen or a jack) = 8/52 = 2/13

There are 4 cards which are king or queen and queen or jack.

∴ P(EF) = P(the card drawn is a king or a queen, or queen or a jack)

=4/52 = 1/13

P(E) × P(F) =-2/13.2/13 = 4/169 ≠ 1/13

⇒ P(E) .P(F) ≠ P(EF)

Therefore, the given events E and F are not independent.

 


Question 18 :

In a hostel 60% of the students read Hindi newspapers, 40% read English newspaper and 20% read both Hindi and English newspapers. A student is selected at random.

(a) Find the probability that she reads neither Hindi nor English newspapers.

(b) If she reads Hindi newspapers, find the probability that she reads English newspaper.

(c) If she reads English newspapers, find the probability she reads Hindi newspaper.

 

Answer :

Let H denote the students who read Hindi newspapers and E denote the students who read English newspapers.

It is given that,

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /0.png

(i) Probability that a student reads Hindi or English newspaper is

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /0.png

(ii) Probability that a randomly chosen student reads English newspaper, if she reads Hindi news paper, is given by P (E|H).

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /3.png

(iii) Probability that a randomly chosen student reads Hindi newspaper, if she reads English newspaper, is given by P (H|E).

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /3.png

 


Probability - Exercise 13.3

Question 1 :

 An urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random, its colour is noted and is returned to the urn. Moreover, 2 additional balls of the colour drawn are put in the urn and then a ball is drawn at random. What is the probability that the second ball is red?

Answer :

 

The urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls.

Let a red ball be drawn in the first attempt.

∴ P (drawing a red ball)  = 5/10 = 1/2

If two red balls are added to the urn, then the urn contains 7 red and 5 black balls.

P (drawing a red ball) = 7/12

Let a black ball be drawn in the first attempt.

∴ P (drawing a black ball in the first attempt)  = 5/10 = 1/2

If two black balls are added to the urn, then the urn contains 5 red and 7 black balls.

P (drawing a red ball) = 5/12

Therefore, probability of drawing second ball as red is chapter 13-Probability Exercise 13.3

 


Question 2 :

 A bag contains 4 red and 4 black balls, another bag contains 2 red and 6 black balls. One of the two bags is selected at random and a ball is drawn from the bag which is found to be red. Find the probability that the ball is drawn from the first bag.

Answer :

 

Let E1 and E2 be the events of selecting the first bag and second bag respectively.

chapter 13-Probability Exercise 13.3

Let A be the event of getting a red ball.

chapter 13-Probability Exercise 13.3

The probability of drawing a ball from the first bag, given that it is red, is given by P (E2|A).

By using Bayes’ theorem, we obtain

chapter 13-Probability Exercise 13.3

 


Question 3 :

Of the students in a college, it is known that 60% reside in hostel and 40% are day scholars (not residing in hostels). Previous year results report that 30% of all students who reside in hostels attain A grade and 20% of day scholars attain A grade and 20% of day scholars attain A grade in their annual examination. At the end of the year, one student is chosen at random from the college and he has an A grade. What is the probability that the student is a hostler?

Answer :

 

Let E1 and E2 be the events that the student is a hostler and a day scholar respectively and A be the event that the chosen student gets grade A.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image023.png

The probability that a randomly chosen student is a hostler, given that he has an A grade, is given by P(E1|A).

By using Bayes’ theorem, we obtain

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image023.png

 


Question 4 :

 In answering a question on a multiple choice test a student either knows the answer or guesses. Let 3/4 be the probability that he knows the answer and 1/4 be the probability that he guesses. Assuming that a student who guesses the answer, will be correct with probability 1/4. What is the probability that a student knows the answer given that he answered it correctly?

Answer :

 

Let E1 and E2 be the respective events that the student knows the answer and he guesses the answer.

Let A be the event that the answer is correct.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image029.png

The probability that the student answered correctly, given that he knows the answer, is 1.

∴ P (A|E1) = 1

Probability that the student answered correctly, given that he guessed, is 1/4.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image029.png

The probability that the student knows the answer, given that he answered it correctly, is given by P(E1|A).

By using Bayes’ theorem, we obtain

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image029.png

 


Question 5 :

If A and B are two events such that A ⊂ B and P (B) ≠ 0, then which of the following is correct:

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /3.png

 

Answer :

 

If A ⊂ B, then A ∩ B = A

⇒ P (A ∩ B) = P (A)

Also, P (A) < P (B)

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /1.png

Hence, option (C) is correct.

 


Question 6 :

A laboratory blood test is 99% effective in detecting a certain disease when it is, in fact, present. However, the test also yields a false positive result for 0.5% of the healthy person tested (i.e., if a healthy person is tested, then, with probability 0.005, the test will imply he has the disease). If 0.1 percent of the population actually has the disease, what is the probability that a person has the disease given that his test result is positive?

Answer :

Let E1 = The person selected is suffering from certain disease, E2 = The person selected is not suffering from certain disease and A = The doctor diagnoses correctly

Since E1 and E2 are events complimentary to each other,

∴ P (E1) + P (E2) = 1

⇒ P (E2) = 1 − P (E1) = 1 − 0.001 = 0.999

Let A be the event that the blood test result is positive.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image035.png

Probability that a person has a disease, given that his test result is positive, is given by

P (E1|A).

By using Bayes’ theorem, we obtain

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image035.png

 


Question 7 :

There are three coins. One is a two headed coin, another is a biased coin that comes up heads 75% of the time and third is an unbiased coin. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, it shows head, what is the probability that it was the two headed coin?

Answer :

Let E1 = a two headed coin, E2 = a biased coin, E3 = an unbiased coin and A = A head is shown

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image042.png

Let A be the event that the coin shows heads.

A two-headed coin will always show heads.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image042.png

Probability of heads coming up, given that it is a biased coin= 75%

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image042.png

Since the third coin is unbiased, the probability that it shows heads is always 1/2..

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image042.png

The probability that the coin is two-headed, given that it shows heads, is given by

P (E1|A).

By using Bayes’ theorem, we obtain

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image042.png

 


Question 8 :

An insurance company insured 2000 scooter driver, 4000 car drivers and 6000 truck drivers. The probability of accidents are 0.01, 0.03 and 0.15 respectively. One of the insured persons meets with an accident. What is the probability that he is a scooter driver?

Answer :


Let E1 = Person chosen is a scooter driver, E2 = Person chosen is a car driver, E3 = Person chosen is a truck driver and A = Person meets with an accident

Let A be the event that the person meets with an accident.

There are 2000 scooter drivers, 4000 car drivers, and 6000 truck drivers.

Total number of drivers = 2000 + 4000 + 6000 = 12000

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image042.png

The probability that the driver is a scooter driver, given that he met with an accident, is given by P (E1|A).

By using Bayes’ theorem, we obtain

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image043.png

 


Question 9 :

A factory has two machines A and B. Past record shows that machine A produced 60% of the items of output and machine B produced 40% of the items. Further, 2% of the items produced by machine A and 1% produced by machine B were defective. All the items are put into one stockpile and then one item is chosen at random from this and is found to be defective. What is the probability that it was produced by machine B?

Answer :

Let E1 and E2 be the respective events of items produced by machines A and B. Let X be the event that the produced item was found to be defective.

∴ Probability of items produced by machine A, P (E1) = 60% = 3/5

Probability of items produced by machine B, P (E2) = 40% = 2/5

Probability that machine A produced defective items, P (X|E1)  = 2% = 2/100

Probability that machine B produced defective items, P (X|E2)  = 1% = 1/100

The probability that the randomly selected item was from machine B, given that it is defective, is given by P (E2|X).

By using Bayes’ theorem, we obtain

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image051.png

 


Question 10 :

Two groups are competing for the position on the Board of directors of a corporation. The probabilities that the first and the second groups will win are 0.6 and 0.4 respectively. Further, if the first group wins, the probability of introducing a new product is 0.7 and the corresponding probability if 0.3, if the second group wins. Find the probability that the new product introduced was by the second group.

Answer :

Let E1 and E2 be the respective events that the first group and the second group win the competition. Let A be the event of introducing a new product.

P (E1) = Probability that the first group wins the competition = 0.6

P (E2) = Probability that the second group wins the competition = 0.4

P (A|E1) = Probability of introducing a new product if the first group wins = 0.7

P (A|E2) = Probability of introducing a new product if the second group wins = 0.3

The probability that the new product is introduced by the second group is given by

P (E2|A).

By using Bayes’ theorem, we obtain

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image054.png

 


Question 11 :

Suppose a girl throws a die. If she gets a 5 or 6, she tosses a coin three times and notes the number of heads. If she gets 1, 2, 3 or 4 she tosses a coin once and noted whether a head or tail is obtained. If she obtained exactly one head, what is the probability that she threw 1, 2, 3 and 4 with the die?

Answer :

Let E1 be the event that the outcome on the die is 5 or 6 and E2 be the event that the outcome on the die is 1, 2, 3, or 4.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image061.png

Let A be the event of getting exactly one head.

P (A|E1) = Probability of getting exactly one head by tossing the coin three times if she gets 5 or 6 = 3/8

P (A|E2) = Probability of getting exactly one head in a single throw of coin if she gets 1, 2, 3, or 4 = 1/2

The probability that the girl threw 1, 2, 3, or 4 with the die, if she obtained exactly one head, is given by P (E2|A).

By using Bayes’ theorem, we obtain

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image061.png

 


Question 12 :

A manufacturer has three machine operators A, B and C. The first operator A produces 1% defective items, whereas the other two operators B and C produce 5% and 7% defective items respectively. A is on the job for 50% of the time, B on the job for 30% of the time and C on the job for 20% of the time. A defective item is produced, what is the probability that it was produced by A?

Answer :

Let E1 = the item is manufactured by the operator A, E2 = the item is manufactured by the operator B, E3 = the item is manufactured by the operator C and A = the item is defective

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image026.png

Let X be the event of producing defective items.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image048.png

The probability that the defective item was produced by A is given by P (E1|A).

By using Bayes’ theorem, we obtain

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image065.png

 


Question 13 :

A card from a pack of 52 cards is lost. From the remaining cards of the pack, two cards are drawn and are found to be both diamonds. Find the probability of the lost card being a diamond.

Answer :

Let E1 = the missing card is a diamond, E2 = the missing card is a spade, E3 = the missing card is a club, E4 = the missing card is a heart and A = drawing of two heart cards from the remaining cards.

Let E1 and E2 be the respective events of choosing a diamond card and a card which is not diamond.

Let A denote the lost card.

Out of 52 cards, 13 cards are diamond and 39 cards are not diamond.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /4.png

When one diamond card is lost, there are 12 diamond cards out of 51 cards.

Two cards can be drawn out of 12 diamond cards in NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /4.pngways.

Similarly, 2 diamond cards can be drawn out of 51 cards in NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /4.pngways. The probability of getting two cards, when one diamond card is lost, is given by P (A|E1).

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /4.png

When the lost card is not a diamond, there are 13 diamond cards out of 51 cards.

Two cards can be drawn out of 13 diamond cards in NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /4.pngways whereas 2 cards can be drawn out of 51 cards in NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /4.pngways.

The probability of getting two cards, when one card is lost which is not diamond, is given by P (A|E2).

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /4.png

The probability that the lost card is diamond is given by P (E1|A).

By using Bayes’ theorem, we obtain

chapter 13-Probability Exercise 13.3

= 11/2/25 = 11/50

 


Question 14 :

Probability that A speaks truth is 4/5 A coin is tossed. A report that a head appears. The probability that actually there was head is:

(A) 4/5

(B) 1/2

(C) 1/5

(D) 2/5

 

Answer :


Let A be the event that the man reports that head occurs in tossing a coin and let E1 be the event that head occurs and E2 be the event head does not occur.

E1: A speaks truth

E2: A speaks false

Let X be the event that a head appears.

P(E1)=45

Therefore,

P(E2)=1-P(E1)=1-45=15

If a coin is tossed, then it may result in either head (H) or tail (T).

The probability of getting a head is 1/2 whether A speaks truth or not.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /5.png

The probability that there is actually a head is given by P (E1 | X)

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /5.png

Hence, option (A) is correct.

 


Probability - Exercise 13.4

Question 1 :

State which of the following are not the probability distributions of a random variable. Give reasons for your answer.

(i)

X

0

1

2

P (X)

0.4

0.4

0.2

(ii) 

X

0

1

2

3

4

P (X)

0.1

0.5

0.2

– 0.1

0.3

(iii) 

Y

– 1

0

1

P (Y)

0.6

0.1

0.2

(iv) 

Z

3

2

1

0

– 1

P (Z)

0.3

0.2

0.4

0.1

0.05

 

Answer :

 

It is known that the sum of all the probabilities in a probability distribution is one.

(i) Sum of the probabilities = 0.4 + 0.4 + 0.2 = 1

Therefore, the given table is a probability distribution of random variables.

(ii) It can be seen that for X = 3, P (X) = −0.1

It is known that the probability of any observation is not negative. Therefore, the given table is not a probability distribution of random variables.

(iii) Sum of the probabilities = 0.6 + 0.1 + 0.2 = 0.9 ≠ 1

Therefore, the given table is not a probability distribution of random variables.

(iv) Sum of the probabilities = 0.3 + 0.2 + 0.4 + 0.1 + 0.05 = 1.05 ≠ 1

Therefore, the given table is not a probability distribution of random variables.

 


Question 2 :

An urn contains 5 red and 2 black balls. Two balls are randomly selected. Let X represent the number of black balls. What are the possible values of X? Is X a random variable?

Answer :

There two balls may be selected as BR, RB, BR, BB, where R represents red ball and B represents black ball.

Variable X has the value 0, 1, 2, i.e., there may be no black ball, may be one black ball or both the balls are black.

 


Question 3 :

Let X represents the difference between the number of heads and the number of tails obtained when a coin is tossed 6 times. What are possible values of X?

Answer :

A coin is tossed six times and X represents the difference between the number of heads and the number of tails.

∴ X (6 H, 0T) = |6 – 0| = 6

X (5 H, 1 T)  = |5 – 1| = 4

X (4 H, 2 T)  = |4 – 2| = 2

X (3 H, 3 T)  = 3 – 3| = 0

X (2 H, 4 T)  = |2 – 4| = 2

X (1 H, 5 T)  = |1 – 5| = 4

X (0H, 6 T) = | 0 – 6| = 6

Thus, the possible values of X are 6, 4, 2, and 0.

 


Question 4 :

Find the probability distribution of:

(i) Number of heads in two tosses of a coin.

(ii) Number of tails in the simultaneous tosses of three coins.

(iii) Number of heads in four tosses of a coin.

 

Answer :

(i) When one coin is tossed twice, the sample space is

{HH, HT, TH, TT}

Let X represent the number of heads.

∴ X (HH) = 2, X (HT) = 1, X (TH) = 1, X (TT) = 0

Therefore, X can take the value of 0, 1, or 2.

It is known that,

P(HH) = P(HT) = P(TH) = P(TT) = 1/4

P (X = 0) = P (TT) = 1/4

P (X = 1) = P (HT) + P (TH) = 14 + 1/4 = 1/2

P (X = 2) = P (HH) = 1/4

Thus, the required probability distribution is as follows.

X

0

1

2

P (X)

1/4

1/2

1/4

(ii) When three coins are tossed simultaneously, the sample space is {HHH,HHT,HTH,HTT,THH,THT,TTH,TTT}

Let X represent the number of tails.

It can be seen that X can take the value of 0, 1, 2, or 3.

P (X = 0) = P (HHH) = 1/8

P (X = 1) = P (HHT) + P (HTH) + P (THH) = 1/8 + 1/8 + 1/8 = 3/8

P (X = 2) = P (HTT) + P (THT) + P (TTH) =  1/8 + 1/8 + 1/8 = 3/8

P (X = 3) = P (TTT) = 1/8

Thus, the probability distribution is as follows.

X

0

1

2

3

P (X)

1/8

3/8

3/8

1/8

(iii) When a coin is tossed four times, the sample space is

(iii) When a coin is tossed four times, the sample space is

S = {HHHH,HHHT,HHTH,HHTT,HTHT,HTHH,HTTH,HTTT,THHH,THHT,THTH,THTT,TTHH,TTHT,TTTH,TTTT}

Let X be the random variable, which represents the number of heads.

It can be seen that X can take the value of 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4.

P (X = 0) = P (TTTT) = 1/16

P (X = 1) = P (TTTH) + P (TTHT) + P (THTT) + P (HTTT)

= 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 = 4/16 = 1/4

P (X = 2) = P (HHTT) + P (THHT) + P (TTHH) + P (HTTH) + P (HTHT)

+ P (THTH)

= 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 = 6/16 = 3/8

P (X = 3) = P (HHHT) + P (HHTH) + P (HTHH) P (THHH)

= 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 = 4/16 = 1/4

P (X = 4) = P (HHHH) = 1/16

Thus, the probability distribution is as follows.

X

0

1

2

3

4

P (X)

1/16

1/4

3/8

1/4

1/16

 


Question 5 :

Find the probability distribution of the number of success in two tosses of a die where a success is defined as:

(i) number greater than 4.

(ii) six appears on at least one die.

 

Answer :

When a die is tossed two times, we obtain (6 × 6) = 36 number of observations.

Let X be the random variable, which represents the number of successes.

(i) Here, success refers to the number greater than 4.

P (X = 0) = P (number less than or equal to 4 on both the tosses) = 4/6 X 4/6 = 4/9

P (X = 1) = P (number less than or equal to 4 on first toss and greater than 4 on second toss) + P (number greater than 4 on first toss and less than or equal to 4 on second toss)

= 4/6 X 2/6 + 4/6 X 2/6 = 4/9

P (X = 2) = P (number greater than 4 on both the tosses)

= 2/6 X 2/6 = 1/9

Thus, the probability distribution is as follows.

X

0

1

2

P (X)

4/9

4/9

1/9

(ii) Here, success means six appears on at least one die.

P (Y = 0 ) = P (six appears on  none of the dice) = 5/6 x  5/6 = 25/36

P (Y = 1) = P (six appears on at least one of the dice) = 1/6 x 5/6 + 5/6 x 1/6 + 1/6 x 1/6 = 11/36

Thus, the required probability distribution is as follows.

Y

0

1

P (Y)

25/36

11/26

 


Question 6 :

From a lot of 30 bulbs which include 6 defectives, a sample of 4 bulbs is drawn at random with replacement. Find the probability distribution of the number of defective bulbs.

Answer :

It is given that out of 30 bulbs, 6 are defective.

⇒ Number of non-defective bulbs = 30 − 6 = 24

4 bulbs are drawn from the lot with replacement.

Let X be the random variable that denotes the number of defective bulbs in the selected bulbs.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image063.png

Therefore, the required probability distribution is as follows.

X

0

1

2

3

4

P (X)

256/625

256/625

96/625

16/625

1/625

 


Question 7 :

A coin is biased so that the head is 3 times as likely to occur as the tail. If the coin is tossed twice, find the probability distribution of the number of tails.

Answer :

 

Let the probability of getting a tail in the biased coin be x.

∴ P (T) = x

⇒ P (H) = 3x

For a biased coin, P (T) + P (H) = 1

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image089.png

When the coin is tossed twice, the sample space is {HH, TT, HT, TH}.

Let X be the random variable representing the number of tails.

∴ P (X = 0) = P (no tail) = P (H) × P (H) = 3/4 x 3/4 = 9/16

P (X = 1) = P (one tail) = P (HT) + P (TH)

= 3/4 . 1/4 + 1/4 . 3/4

= 3/16 + 3/16= 3/8

P (X = 2) = P (two tails) = P (TT) = 1/4 x 1/4 = 1/16

Therefore, the required probability distribution is as follows.

X

0

1

2

P (X)

9/16

3/8

1/16

 


Question 8 :

A random variable X has the following probability distribution:

X

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

P (X)

0

k

2k

2k

3k

k2

2k2

7k2 + k

Determine:

(i) k

(ii) P (X < 3) 

(iii) P (X > 6) 

(iv) P (0 < X < 3)

 

Answer :


(i) Since, the sum of all the probabilities of a distribution is 1.

chapter 13-Probability Exercise 13.4

 


Question 9 :

 The random variable X has a probability distribution P(X)  of the following form, where k is some number:

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image108.png

(a) Determine the value of k.

(b) Find P(X < 2), P(X ≥ 2), P(X ≥ 2).

 

Answer :

(a) It is known that the sum of probabilities of a probability distribution of random variables is one.

∴ k + 2k + 3k + 0 = 1

⇒ 6k = 1

⇒ k =1/6

(b) P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)

= k + 2k

= 3k

=3/6 = 1/2

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image115.png

 


Question 10 :

Find the mean number of heads in three tosses of fair coin.

Answer :

Let X denote the success of getting heads.

Therefore, the sample space is

S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT}

It can be seen that X can take the value of 0, 1, 2, or 3

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image118.png

Therefore, the required probability distribution is as follows.

X

0

1

2

3

P(X)

1/8

3/8

3/8

1/8

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image064.png

 


Question 11 :

Two dice are thrown simultaneously. If X denotes the number of sixes, find expectation of X.

Answer :

Two dice thrown simultaneously is the same as the die thrown 2 times.

Here, X represents the number of sixes obtained when two dice are thrown simultaneously. Therefore, X can take the value of 0, 1, or 2.

∴ P (X = 0) = P (not getting six on any of the dice) = 25/36

P (X = 1) = P (six on first die and no six on second die) + P (no six on first die and six on second die)

=2(1/6 x 5/6) = 10/36

P (X = 2) = P (six on both the dice) =1/36

Therefore, the required probability distribution is as follows.

X

0

1

2

P(X)

25/36

10/36

1/36

Then, expectation of X = E(X) =∑ X iP(Xi)

= 0 x 25/36 + 1 x 10/36 + 2 x 1/36

= 1/3

 


Question 12 :

 Two numbers are selected at random (without replacement), from the first six positive integers. Let X denotes the larger of two numbers obtained. Find E (X).

Answer :

The two positive integers can be selected from the first six positive integers without replacement in 6 × 5 = 30 ways

X represents the larger of the two numbers obtained. Therefore, X can take the value of 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6.

For X = 2, the possible observations are (1, 2) and (2, 1).

P(X = 2) = 2/30 = 1/15

For X = 3, the possible observations are (1, 3), (2, 3), (3, 1), and (3, 2).

P(X = 3) = 4/30 = 2/15

For X = 4, the possible observations are (1, 4), (2, 4), (3, 4), (4, 3), (4, 2), and (4, 1).

P(X = 4) = 6/30 = 1/5

For X = 5, the possible observations are (1, 5), (2, 5), (3, 5), (4, 5), (5, 4), (5, 3), (5, 2), and (5, 1).

P(X = 5) = 8/30 = 4/15

For X = 6, the possible observations are (1, 6), (2, 6), (3, 6), (4, 6), (5, 6), (6,5) , (6, 4), (6, 3), (6, 2), and (6, 1).

P(X = 6) = 10/30 = 1/3

Therefore, the required probability distribution is as follows.

X

2

3

4

5

6

P(X)

1/15

2/15

1/5

4/15

1/3

chapter 13-Probability Exercise 13.4

 


Question 13 :

Let X denotes the sum of the numbers obtained when two fair dice are rolled. Find the variance and standard deviation of X.

Answer :

When two fair dice are rolled, 6 × 6 = 36 observations are obtained.

P(X = 2) = P(1, 1) = 1/36

P(X = 3) = P (1, 2) + P(2, 1) = 2/36 = 1/18

P(X = 4) = P(1, 3) + P(2, 2) + P(3, 1) = 3/36 = 1/12

P(X = 5) = P(1, 4) + P(2, 3) + P(3, 2) + P(4, 1) = 4/36 = 1/9

P(X = 6) = P(1, 5) + P (2, 4) + P(3, 3) + P(4, 2) + P(5, 1) = 5/36

P(X = 7) = P(1, 6) + P(2, 5) + P(3, 4) + P(4, 3) + P(5, 2) + P(6, 1) = 6/36 = 1/6

P(X = 8) = P(2, 6) + P(3, 5) + P(4, 4) + P(5, 3) + P(6, 2) = 5/36

P(X = 9) = P(3, 6) + P(4, 5) + P(5, 4) + P(6, 3) = 4/36 = 1/9

P(X = 10) = P(4, 6) + P(5, 5) + P(6, 4) = 3/36 = 1/12

P(X = 11) = P(5, 6) + P(6, 5) = 2/36 = 1/18

P(X = 12) = P(6, 6) = 1 x 36

Therefore, the required probability distribution is as follows.

X

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

P(X)

1/36

1/18

1/12

1/9

5/36

1/6

5/36

1/9

1/12

1/18

1/36

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image146.png

 


Question 14 :

A class has 15 students whose ages are 14, 17, 15, 14, 21, 17, 19, 20, 16, 18, 20, 17, 16, 19 and 20 years. One student is selected in such a manner that each has the same chance of being chosen and the age X of the selected student is recorded. What is the probability distribution of the random variable X? Find mean, variance and standard deviation of X.

Answer :

There are 15 students in the class. Each student has the same chance to be chosen. Therefore, the probability of each student to be selected is 1/15.

The given information can be compiled in the frequency table as follows.

X

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

f

2

1

2

3

1

2

3

1

P(X = 14) =2/15, P(X = 15) =1/15, P(X = 16) =2/15, P(X = 16) =3/15,

P(X = 18) =115, P(X = 19) =2/15, P(X = 20) =3/15, P(X = 21) =1/15

Therefore, the probability distribution of random variable X is as follows.

X

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

f

2/15

1/15

2/15

3/15

1/15

2/15

3/15

1/15

Then, mean of X = E(X)

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /8.png

 


Question 15 :

In a meeting 70% of the members favour a certain proposal, 30% being opposed. A member is selected at random and we let X = 0 if the opposition and X = 1 if he is in favour. Find E (X) and Var (X).

Answer :

 

It is given that P(X = 0) = 30% = 30/100 = 0.3

P(X = 1) = 70% = 70/100 = 0.7

Therefore, the probability distribution is as follows.

X

0

1

P(X)

0.3

0.7

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /4.png

= 0.7 − (0.7)2

= 0.7 − 0.49

= 0.21

 


Question 16 :

The mean of the numbers obtained on throwing a die having written 1 on three faces, 2 on two faces and 5 on one face is:

(A) 1 

(B) 2 

(C) 5 

(D) 8/3

 

Answer :

Let X be the random variable representing a number on the die.

The total number of observations is six.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

Therefore, the probability distribution is as follows.

X

1

2

5

P(X)

1/2

1/3

1/6

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability

Therefore, option (B) is correct.

 


Question 17 :

Suppose that two cards are drawn at random from a deck of cards. Let X be the number of aces obtained. What is the value of E(X)?

(A) 37/221

(B) 5/13

(C) 1/13

(D) 2/13

 

Answer :

Let X denote the number of aces obtained. Therefore, X can take any of the values of 0, 1, or 2.

In a deck of 52 cards, 4 cards are aces. Therefore, there are 48 non-ace cards.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /6.png

Therefore, option (D) is correct.

 


Probability - Exercise 13.5

Question 1 :

The probability that a bulb produced by a factory will fuse after 150 days of use is 0.05. Find the probability that out of 5 such bulbs.

Answer :

Let X represent the number of bulbs that will fuse after 150 days of use in an experiment of 5 trials. The trials are Bernoulli trials.

It is given that, p = 0.05

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image009.png

 


Question 2 :

Five cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. What is the probability that:

(i)  all the five cards are spade?

(ii)  only 3 cards are spades?

(iii)  none is spade?

 

Answer :

Let X represent the number of spade cards among the five cards drawn. Since the drawing of cards is with replacement, the trials are Bernoulli trials.

In a well shuffled deck of 52 cards, there are 13 spade cards.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image025.png

 


Question 3 :

 A die is thrown 6 times. If ‘getting an odd number’ is a success, what is the probability of:

(i)  5 successes?

(ii)  at least 5 successes?

(iii)  at most 5 successes?

 

Answer :

The repeated tosses of a die are Bernoulli trials. Let X denote the number of successes of getting odd numbers in an experiment of 6 trials.

Probability of getting an odd number in a single throw of a die is, p – 3/6 = 1/2

q = 1 – p = 1/2

X has a binomial distribution.

chapter 13-Probability Exercise 13.5

 


Question 4 :

 A pair of dice is thrown 4 times. If getting a doublet is considered a success, find the probability of two successes.

Answer :

The repeated tosses of a pair of dice are Bernoulli trials. Let X denote the number of times of getting doublets in an experiment of throwing two dice simultaneously four times.

Probability of getting doublets in a single throw of the pair of dice is

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image017.png

 


Question 5 :

There are 5% defective items in a large bulk of items. What is the probability that a sample of 10 items will include not more than one defective item?

Answer :

Let X denote the number of defective items in a sample of 10 items drawn successively. Since the drawing is done with replacement, the trials are Bernoulli trials.

chapter 13-Probability Exercise 13.5

 


Question 6 :

 A bag consists of 10 balls each marked with one of the digits 0 to 9. If four balls are drawn successively with replacement from the bag, what is the probability that none is marked with the digit 0?

Answer :

Let X denote the number of balls marked with the digit 0 among the 4 balls drawn.

Since the balls are drawn with replacement, the trials are Bernoulli trials.

X has a binomial distribution with n = 4 and p = 1/10

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image043.png

 


Question 7 :

 In an examination, 20 questions of true-false are asked. Suppose a student tosses a fair coin to determine his answer to each question. If the coin falls heads, he answers ‘true’, if it falls tails, he answers ‘false’. Find the probability that he answers at least 12 questions correctly.

Answer :

Let X represent the number of correctly answered questions out of 20 questions.

The repeated tosses of a coin are Bernoulli trails. Since “head” on a coin represents the true answer and “tail” represents the false answer, the correctly answered questions are Bernoulli trials.

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image047.png

 


Question 8 :

Suppose X has a binomial distribution B(6,1/2) Show that X = 3 is the most likely outcome.

(Hint: P(X = 3) is the maximum among all P (xi), xi = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6)

Answer :

X is the random variable whose binomial distribution is B(6,1/2).

Therefore, n = 6 and p = 1/2

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image050.png

Therefore, P (X = 3) is maximum.

 


Question 9 :

 On a multiple choice examination with three possible answers for each of the five questions, what is the probability that a candidate would get four or more correct answers just by guessing?

 

Answer :

The repeated guessing of correct answers from multiple choice questions are Bernoulli trials. Let X represent the number of correct answers by guessing in the set of 5 multiple choice questions.

Probability of getting a correct answer is, p = 1/3

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image027.png

 


Question 10 :

A person buys a lottery ticket in 50 lotteries, in each of which his chance of winning a prize is 1/100  What is the probability that he will win a prize:

(a) at least once  

(b) exactly once  

(c) at least twice?

 

Answer :

Let X represent the number of winning prizes in 50 lotteries. The trials are Bernoulli trials.

Clearly, X has a binomial distribution with n = 50 and p = 1/100

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image066.png

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image067.png

 


Question 11 :

 Find the probability of getting 5 exactly twice in 7 throws of a die.

Answer :

The repeated tossing of a die are Bernoulli trials. Let X represent the number of times of getting 5 in 7 throws of the die.

Probability of getting 5 in a single throw of the die, p = 1/6

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image003.png

 


Question 12 :

Find the probability of throwing at most 2 sixes in 6 throws of a single die.

Answer :

The repeated tossing of the die are Bernoulli trials. Let X represent the number of times of getting sixes in 6 throws of the die.

Probability of getting six in a single throw of die, p = 1/6

Let A represents the favourable event i.e., 6

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image003.png

 


Question 13 :

 It is known that 10% of certain articles manufactured are defective. What is the probability that in a random sample of 12 such articles 9 are defective?

Answer :

The repeated selections of articles in a random sample space are Bernoulli trails. Let X denote the number of times of selecting defective articles in a random sample space of 12 articles.

Clearly, X has a binomial distribution with n = 12 and p = 10% = 10/100 = 1/10

 

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths Probability/image027.png

 


Question 14 :

 Binomial distribution is given this name because:

(A)  This distribution was evolved by James binomial.

(B)  Each trial has only two outcomes. Namely success and failure.

(C)  Its probability function is obtained by general binomial expansion.

(D)  It is obtained by combining two distributions.

 

Answer :

option (C) is correct.


Question 15 :

 In a box containing 100 bulbs, 10 are defective. The probability that out of a sample of 5 bulbs, none is defective is:

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /0.png   

(D) None of these

 

Answer :

The repeated selection of students who are swimmers are Bernoulli trials. Let X denote the number of students, out of 5 students, who are swimmers.

Probability of students who are not swimmers, q = 1/5

 

NCERT Solutions class 12 Maths /5.png

Therefore, option (A) is correct.

 


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